Sergey Kovalev vs Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez Preview and Prediction

‘Canelo’ Alvarez fought two great and controversial middleweight title fights against arch rival Gennady ‘GGG’ Golovkin.

At one time boxing fans felt that ‘Canelo’ Alvarez was manipulating his opponents on the scales and through rehydration clauses to gain an unfair advantage over them, but that time seems to have past and now the flame haired Mexican is gaining more and more fans with his choice of opponents and the weight divisions he is willing to try and plunder.

On November 2nd, ‘Canelo’ will attempt his biggest heist since he attempted to take the unbeaten record of Floyd Mayweather back in 2013 when he challenges long-time light heavyweight champion Sergey ‘Krusher’ Kovalev for his WBO belt at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas.

In reality, ‘Canelo’ has still made Kovalev’s task more difficult by getting the Russian to fight him so soon after his defence against Britain’s Anthony Yarde on 24th August. At 36-years-old Kovalev would probably like to have taken a longer break between fights than he has been allowed to here. Of course the money on offer for fighting Alvarez would just be too good to turn down, but ‘Canelo’ hasn’t fought since his May 4th meeting with Daniel Jacobs and will be well rested after a 6 month ring absence. Let’s also not forget that Alvarez is 7 years younger than Kovalev.

‘Canelo’ looked in his best form when he took Jacobs’s IBF middleweight belt from him at the T-Mobile Arena in May so moving from 160lbs to 175lbs is a mammoth task, especially against a light heavyweight that is renowned as a big puncher. No matter how youth, speed, and great body punching will make Alvarez a big betting favourite going into the fight, he could simply be too small to take the best of Kovalev’s power shots.

The 6 months out of the ring will have been spent doing strength work to pack on some solid muscle to cope with the power and strength that the 6 foot tall Russian will surely try to assert upon the naturally smaller man.

Another thing that Alvarez will be well aware of is just what a great weapon ‘Krusher’s’ jab can be. It may take having to lose some rounds before the Mexican idol can find a way past that jab to get inside and pound a way to that tall frame. Kovalev used the jab to maximum effect in his latest defence against Yarde.

I thought that Yarde’s team might have chosen to fight Kovalev at the right stage of his career. He had lost his title in August 2018 to Eleder Alvarez by 7th round knockout but came back to correct some technical faults and clearly out score the Columbian six months later. Against Yarde he dictated the fight behind the jab and stopped the inexperience Brit in the 11th round, even though he got caught with combinations of solid shots in a bruising 8th round.

‘Canelo’ will be a lot quicker with both feet and hands than Kovalev has been used to. He can also bang, at least as a middleweight or super middleweight, the big question will be can he hurt Kovalev? If he can’t then his job will get harder as the fight progresses because of ‘Krusher’s’ jab and good ring general ship.

But when I see the fight playing out in my mind, I can see a time when ‘Canelo’ does get inside and land the sort of body punches that won him the WBA regular super-middleweight title from Rocky Fielding at Madison Square Garden In December 2018.

Prediction: Saul Alvarez to win by stoppage before the 10th round.

Betting for this bout by Betfair | Terms & Conditions
Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez 1/8
Sergey Kovalev 9/2
Draw 25/1

Related Articles:

Canelo King of the Middleweight’s

Callum Smith vs Hassan N’dam on Joshua Undercard then Canelo?

Is Canelo Struggling At 160lbs?

Yarde loses to Kovalev in Russia

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